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Recommended portfolio from DNB Carnegie

On this page you will find equity strategist Paul Harper's weekly top picks on the Oslo Stock Exchange.

Paul Harper

THE WEEKLY PORTFOLIO: Equity strategist Paul Harper's portfolio of recommended shares from the Oslo Stock Exchange has beaten the main index in 18 of the last 21 years. (Photo: DNB)

Weekly and daily recommendations

This week's recommendations from DNB Carnegie are updated, with certain exceptions, on this page every Monday. If you have access to DNB's equity trading service, you will receive the recommendations when logged in early Monday morning on our trading platform.

Daily buy and sell recommendations from our analysts are also available when logged in.

Daily Recommendations

Our analysts closely follow 600 companies and provide daily buy, sell or hold recommendations within DNB's equity trading service.

Portfolio week 39

(21.09.26) We are adding Elkem

The portfolio was down 1.2 per cent from Monday morning last week to the same time today. In the same period, OSEBX fell 0.1 per cent.

Shares out:

  • None

Shares in:

  • Elkem

Elkem's business operations in silicon metal benefit from some of the market's lowest production costs, thanks to its location in Northern Norway with low electricity prices. This suggests an attractive valuation going forward.

THIS WEEK'S REPORT:

Report recommended week 39 (PDF)Open the file in a new tab

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NOTE: The recommendations are given with certain reservations. Read disclaimer below.

Anbefalte-uke39

Year to date: So far in 2026 the portfolio is up 3.3 per cent, whilst OSEBX is up 24.6 per cent.

Our weekly comment

(21.09.26) This week we are adding Elkem

So far in 2026 the portfolio is up 2.0 per cent, whilst OSEBX is up 24.5 per cent.

The week that was

Nordic Semiconductor (+6.1%), Kitron (+4.3) and DOF Group (+0.4%) were the shares that delivered the strongest rate of return last week. Salmar (-6.4%), B2 Impact (-5.7%) and Mowi (-3.9%) provided the weakest contributions. Although the topic has been known in the market for some time, an article about a possible increase in US tariffs on salmon pulled seafood shares down on Friday. As we see it, any final effect will most likely primarily be a redistribution of volume between regions (Norway, Chile and Canada), some short-term price pressure and higher costs related to logistics. We are maintaining our exposure to the sector. During the week, block placements were carried out in both B2 Impact and Aker BP, which resulted in a subsequent fall in the share price for both companies, this without anything fundamental having changed. The shares have since recovered some of this fall.

We are adding Elkem to the portfolio this week. Elkem has a competitive cost position in a silicon market where large parts of production today are unprofitable. With expected demand growth and limited supply growth in a geographically more fragmented market, silicon prices can normalise, which will lift earnings and highlight the underlying attractive valuation.

This week

On Thursday there is a monetary policy meeting in Sweden's Riksbank and the Norwegian central bank, Norges Bank. On Monday afternoon the market is pricing in a 60% probability of an interest rate increase from the Norwegian central bank, Norges Bank. The expectations of DNB Carnegie's macroeconomists are unchanged interest rates, but that there will be an increase in December. They justify this by believing that Norges Bank will emphasise figures from the Regional Network which showed that capacity among businesses has been weaker than expected. We therefore expect that Norges Bank will postpone an interest rate increase now, even though inflation is still above the inflation target of 2%. In Sweden the market expects unchanged interest rates.

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You can find archives of previous weeks when logged in to DNB's Share trading, under the "Insights" tab

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Terminology explained - shares and analysis

*The average annual rate of return on Paul Harper's recommended portfolio since inception (2005–end of 2023) is 20.7%, whilst OSEBX returned an annual average of 10.7% over the same period. Over the past ten years (2013–2023), Harper's portfolio returned an annual average of 17.9%. The recommended portfolio outperformed the main index (OSEBX) in the following years: 2005–2007, 2009–2010, 2012–2021 and 2023–2024.

In our calculation of rate of return, we base the entry and exit prices on the opening prices on Monday morning. The portfolio is equally weighted, and the week's rate of return therefore reflects an overall average of the price development for all shares throughout the week. For companies on the OBX index, we use the average price up to 10:00 on Monday, whilst for other shares we use the average up to 12:00. The return for OSEBX is calculated from the price at 10:00 on Monday.

Investing in shares involves high risk. Future rate of return depends on market developments, the investor's skill, risk, and costs associated with purchase, maintenance and sale. The return may be negative.

Important information

The recommendations of the week are based on a report prepared by DNB Carnegie, a division of DNB Bank ASA. DNB Bank ASA is part of the DNB Group. This report is based on information obtained from public sources that DNB Carnegie believes to be reliable, but which DNB Carnegie has not independently verified. DNB Carnegie therefore provides no guarantees, representations or warranties as to the accuracy or completeness. This report does not contain, and does not attempt to contain, all material information about the companies named.

All opinions expressed here on the page reflect DNB Carnegie's assessment at the time the report was prepared. The recommendations may change without notice.

Read the full disclaimer here.

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